Women's World Cup | Group Stage

Jul 31, 2023 at 8am UK

FMG Stadium Waikato

Costa Rica Women
1 - 3
Zambia Women

Herrera Monge (47')
Maria Alvarado Aguilar (6'), De Los Angeles Benavidez (21'), del Campo (23')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Mweemba (3'), Banda (31' pen.), Kundanaji (90+3')
Tembo (40'), Banda (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Women's World Cup clash between Costa Rica Women and Zambia Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Costa Rica Women

All competitions

Last Game: Japan Women 2-0 Costa Rica Women
Wednesday, July 26 at 6am in Women's World Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain Women	2	8	6
2	Japan Women	2	7	6
3	Costa Rica Women	2	-5	0
4	Zambia Women	2	-10	0

Zambia Women

All competitions

Last Game: Spain Women 5-0 Zambia Women
Wednesday, July 26 at 8.30am in Women's World Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain Women	2	8	6
2	Japan Women	2	7	6
3	Costa Rica Women	2	-5	0
4	Zambia Women	2	-10	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica Women win with a probability of 56.55%. A win for Zambia Women had a probability of 22.76% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.39%) and 1-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Zambia Women win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Zambia Women would win this match.

Result
Costa Rica Women	Draw	Zambia Women
56.55% ( -0.1)	20.69% ( -0.06)	22.76% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 63.95% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.48% (

0.48)

33.51% (

-0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.69% (

0.54)

55.31% (

-0.55)

Costa Rica Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.11% (

0.12)

11.88% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.8% (

0.27)

37.19% (

-0.27)

Zambia Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.58% (

0.39)

27.42% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.1% (

0.51)

62.89% (

-0.52)

Score Analysis

Costa Rica Women 56.55%

Zambia Women 22.76%

Draw 20.69%

Costa Rica Women	Draw	Zambia Women
2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.19% 4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 56.55%	1-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.69%	1-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.65% Total : 22.76%