Women's World Cup | Group Stage

Jul 26, 2023 at 1pm UK

HBF Park

Canada Women
2 - 1
Ireland Women

Connolly (45+5' og.), Leon (53')
Buchanan (36'), Gilles (61')

FT(HT: 1-1)

McCabe (4')
McCabe (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's World Cup clash between Canada Women and Ireland Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada Women

All competitions

Women's World Cup

Last Game: Nigeria Women 0-0 Canada Women
Friday, July 21 at 3.30am in Women's World Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Australia Women	1	1	3
2	Canada Women	1	0	1
3	Nigeria Women	1	0	1
4	Ireland Women	1	-1	0

Ireland Women

All competitions

Last Game: Australia Women 1-0 Ireland Women
Thursday, July 20 at 11am in Women's World Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Australia Women	1	1	3
2	Canada Women	1	0	1
3	Nigeria Women	1	0	1
4	Ireland Women	1	-1	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada Women win with a probability of 67.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Ireland Women had a probability of 14.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Ireland Women win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Canada Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Canada Women.

Result
Canada Women	Draw	Ireland Women
67.09% ( 0.24)	18.6% ( -0.1)	14.31% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 54.59% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.97% (

0.15)

38.03% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.71% (

0.16)

60.29% (

-0.16)

Canada Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.54% (

0.1)

10.46% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.92% (

0.23)

34.08% (

-0.23)

Ireland Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.97% (

-0.1)

39.03% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.24% (

-0.1)

75.75% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Canada Women 67.08%

Ireland Women 14.31%

Draw 18.6%

Canada Women	Draw	Ireland Women
2-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.61% Total : 67.08%	1-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.6%	1-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.86% Total : 14.31%