Serie B | Gameweek 38

May 19, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Stadio Renato Curi

Perugia
3 - 2
Benevento

Lisi (53' pen.), Di Carmine (58'), Kouan (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Farias (30'), Ciano (90+1')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Perugia and Benevento.

Form, Standings, Stats

Perugia

All competitions

Last Game: Venezia 3-2 Perugia
Saturday, May 13 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Benevento

All competitions

Last Game: Benevento 2-1 Modena
Saturday, May 13 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Perugia would win this match.

Result
Perugia	Draw	Benevento
37.95% ( -0)	28.05%	33.99% ( 0)

Both teams to score 47.5% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.44%

58.55% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.87% (

79.12% (

-0)

Perugia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.18%

29.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.1%

65.9%

Benevento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.68% (

32.32% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.17% (

68.82% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Perugia 37.95%

Benevento 33.99%

Draw 28.05%

Perugia	Draw	Benevento
1-0 @ 11.66% 2-1 @ 7.97% 2-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 3.22% 3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.95%	1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 9.64% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.05%	0-1 @ 10.88% 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-2 @ 6.15% 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.72% Total : 33.99%