Friendlies 3

May 25, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Stade Thelbert Carti

Saint Martin
4 - 1
Saint Kitts

FT(HT: 6-0)

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Saint Martin and Saint Kitts and Nevis.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Martin

All competitions

Last Game: Grenada 0-3 Saint Martin
Monday, November 18 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League C Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Anguilla	0	0	0
2	Bonaire	0	0	0
3	Saint Martin	0	0	0

Saint Kitts and Nevis

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Saint Kitts 1-3 St Vincent & Gr.
Wednesday, May 21 at 12am in International Friendlies

Next Game: St Vincent & Gr. vs. Saint Kitts
Sunday, May 25 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current League B Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saint Kitts and Nevis	0	0	0
2	Saint Lucia	0	0	0
3	Guadeloupe	0	0	0
4	Sint Maarten	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Martin win with a probability of 54.32%. A win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 24.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Martin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.3%) and 1-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Martin would win this match.

Result
Saint Martin	Draw	Saint Kitts and Nevis
54.32% ( 2.31)	21.35% ( 0.34)	24.33% ( -2.65)

Both teams to score 63.53% (

-4.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.07% (

-4.29)

34.92% (

4.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.09% (

-4.95)

56.9% (

4.95)

Saint Martin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.01% (

-0.77)

12.99% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.5% (

-1.6)

39.5% (

1.6)

Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.02% (

-4.15)

26.98% (

4.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.67% (

-5.77)

62.32% (

5.78)

Score Analysis

Saint Martin 54.32%

Saint Kitts and Nevis 24.33%

Draw 21.35%

Saint Martin	Draw	Saint Kitts and Nevis
2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.46) 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 1.14) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( 1.29) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.65) 3-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.45) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.26) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.3) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.08) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.27) Other @ 3.21% Total : 54.32%	1-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.71) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.46) 0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.72) 3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.46) Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.35%	1-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.47) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.58) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.47) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.19) Other @ 3.86% Total : 24.33%