Albion Rovers
Scottish Challenge Cup | Second Round
Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Reigart Stadium

Albion Rovers
2 - 0
Tranent Juniors

Joseph (75', 87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Higginbotham (31'), Horne (90')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Second Round clash between Albion Rovers and Tranent Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albion Rovers

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: St Mirren U21s 2-2 Albion Rovers (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, August 1 at 7.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Bonnyrigg Rose31.50Barrett
2Peterhead31.50O'Keefe
3Dumbarton21.00Blair
4Spartans21.00Dishington
5Stranraer21.00Dolan
6Clyde10.50Rennie
7East Fife10.50Page
8Elgin00.00
9Forfar00.00
10Stenhousemuir00.00

Tranent Juniors

All competitions
Last Game: Tranent Juniors 0-0 Motherwell U21s (3-1 pen.)
Tuesday, August 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Bonnyrigg Rose31.50Barrett
2Peterhead31.50O'Keefe
3Dumbarton21.00Blair
4Spartans21.00Dishington
5Stranraer21.00Dolan
6Clyde10.50Rennie
7East Fife10.50Page
8Elgin00.00
9Forfar00.00
10Stenhousemuir00.00

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranent Juniors win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranent Juniors win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Albion Rovers win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Albion RoversDrawTranent Juniors
35.45% (0.186 0.19)23.72% (0.021999999999998 0.02)40.83% (-0.205 -0.2)
Both teams to score 62.29% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.3% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)39.7% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.94% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)62.05% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Albion Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62% (0.066999999999993 0.07)22.37% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.13% (0.101 0.1)55.87% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Tranent Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.24% (-0.119 -0.12)19.75% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.21% (-0.193 -0.19)51.79% (0.196 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Albion Rovers 35.45%
    Tranent Juniors 40.83%
    Draw 23.72%
Albion RoversDrawTranent Juniors
2-1 @ 8.04% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.62% (0.034 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.95% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.47% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 35.45%
1-1 @ 10.73% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.42% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.81% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.71% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.52% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.14% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.91% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 40.83%