Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 33

May 16, 2025 at 5pm UK

Stadion MOSiR

Stal Mielec
2 - 2
Radomiak Radom

Cavaleiro (45'), Guillaumier (73')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Henrique (15'), Wlazlo (80' og.)
Ouattara (43'), Capita (90+4')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Radomiak Radom.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stal Mielec

All competitions

Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 2-3 Stal Mielec
Monday, May 12 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Radomiak Radom

All competitions

Last Game: Radomiak Radom 2-0 Szczecin
Saturday, May 10 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stal Mielec win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stal Mielec win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Radomiak Radom win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Stal Mielec	Draw	Radomiak Radom
39.13% ( 0.3)	26.58% ( -0.06)	34.29% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 52.1% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.21% (

0.23)

52.79% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.58% (

0.2)

74.42% (

-0.2)

Stal Mielec Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.62% (

0.28)

26.38% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.46% (

0.37)

61.54% (

-0.37)

Radomiak Radom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.77% (

-0.03)

29.23% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.82% (

-0.04)

65.18% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Stal Mielec 39.12%

Radomiak Radom 34.3%

Draw 26.57%

Stal Mielec	Draw	Radomiak Radom
1-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.12%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.57%	0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.3%