NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Apr 19, 2025 at 3pm UK
Lakeview Park

Loughgall
2 - 2
Carrick

McLaughlin (17'), Magee (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Watson (27'), McCullough (52')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Loughgall and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Loughgall

All competitions
Last Game: Portadown 3-1 Loughgall
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Ballymena 1-1 Carrick
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
LoughgallDrawCarrick Rangers
31.85% (-0.029 -0.03)26.31% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)41.84% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.3% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.76% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)52.24% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.06% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)73.94% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Loughgall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)30.55% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.22% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)66.78% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.3% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)24.69% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)59.23% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Loughgall 31.85%
    Carrick Rangers 41.83%
    Draw 26.3%
LoughgallDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 8.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 7.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 5.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.1% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 31.85%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.55% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 10.55% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.75%
0-2 @ 7.38% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.08%
0-3 @ 3.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.43%
0-4 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 41.83%

Head to Head
Feb 22, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 30
Carrick
0-0
Loughgall
Hastings (36')
Dec 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 21
Carrick
0-0
Loughgall
Clucas (35'), McGuckin (67'), Heatley (75')
McGuckin (40'), Forsythe (57'), Gibson (65'), Balde (76'), Francis (84'), Kelly (90')
Aug 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 2
Loughgall
3-0
Carrick
Gibson (27', 45'), Magee (90+2')
Kelly (49'), McCloskey (82')

Stewart (42'), Clucas (57'), Watson (66'), McGuckin (72')
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Carrick
2-1
Loughgall
Stewart (17', 20')
Macuilaitis (59'), Macuilaitis (62'), Forsythe (66'), McGuckin (90+2')
Gordon (43')
Strain (33')
Allen (14'), Kelly (89'), Hoey (90+2')
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Loughgall
3-3
Carrick
Hoey (38', 77'), Ferris (90+1')
Carroll (40'), Magee (67'), Ferris (90+2')
Teelan (34'), Purkis (41', 46')
Buchanan-Rolleston (45+3'), Purkis (74'), Gordon (90+2')