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Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Nov 29, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Clermont Foot

Montpellier
1 - 1
Clermont

Al Tamari (16', 76'), Savanier (31' pen., 48' pen., 87' pen.)
Der Zakarian (28'), Fayad (40'), Esteve (45+2'), Sainte-Luce (50'), Leroy (51'), Omeragic (90+4'), Esteve (90+8'), Leroy (90+7'), Leroy (90+8')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Gonalons (7'), Magnin (26'), Oumar Konate (45')
Oumar Konate (8'), Caufriez (38'), Caufriez (45+5'), Gonalons (60'), Pelmard (74'), Keita (76'), Gonalons (90+8'), Caufriez (90+8')
Borges (90+4'), Borges (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 0-3 Montpellier
Sunday, October 1 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 0-0 PSG
Saturday, September 30 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawClermont
42.08% (0.925 0.92)26.1% (-0.318 -0.32)31.81% (-0.608 -0.61)
Both teams to score 52.93% (0.80099999999999 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.58% (1.126 1.13)51.42% (-1.127 -1.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.76% (0.974 0.97)73.23% (-0.97500000000001 -0.98)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.79% (0.979 0.98)24.2% (-0.979 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.46% (1.369 1.37)58.54% (-1.369 -1.37)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.82% (0.15599999999999 0.16)30.17% (-0.156 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.67% (0.187 0.19)66.32% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 42.08%
    Clermont 31.81%
    Draw 26.1%
Montpellier HSCDrawClermont
1-0 @ 10.35% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 8.81% (0.141 0.14)
2-0 @ 7.35% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.181 0.18)
3-0 @ 3.48% (0.137 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.119 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.104 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 42.08%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 7.3% (-0.335 -0.34)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.107 0.11)
3-3 @ 1% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.75% (-0.361 -0.36)
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.192 -0.19)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 31.81%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Clermont

Montpellier HSC
90.9%
Draw
0.0%
Clermont
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 28
Montpellier
2-1
Clermont
Wahi (61', 72')
Khaoui (32')
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 14
Clermont
1-1
Montpellier
Andric (62')
Savanier (10' pen.)
May 8, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 36
Clermont
2-1
Montpellier
Rashani (4'), Bayo (69' pen.)
Abdul Samed (35'), Gastien (60')
Chotard (32')
Mollet (24'), Dall'Oglio (25'), Souquet (71'), Leroy (74'), Chotard (74')
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 17
Montpellier
1-0
Clermont
Wahi (28')
Mavididi (38'), Sambia (50'), Chotard (90')

Abdul Samed (51'), Abdul Samed (90+3'), Gastien (90+3')