European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Jun 25, 2023 at 5pm UK
Cluj Arena
Form, Standings, Stats
European Under-21 Championship
We said: Switzerland Under-21s 1-3 Italy Under-21s
On the back of their triumph over Norway, Switzerland's confidence will be up, yet they will be torn with going out all for the win when a draw may prove to be sufficient. The indecision may let in their opponents, who we feel will show a ruthless streak in the final third.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-21s win with a probability of 74.51%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Switzerland Under-21s had a probability of 8.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-21s win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.66%) and 0-3 (10.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Switzerland Under-21s win it was 1-0 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Italy Under-21s would win this match.
| Result |
| Switzerland Under-21s | Draw | Italy Under-21s |
8.71% ( 0.04) | 16.78% ( 0.03) | 74.51% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 41.56% ( 0.1) |
