Italy U21s
4 - 0
Slovenia U21s

Maggiore (10'), Raspadori (19'), Cutrone (25' pen., 50')
Marchizza (55'), Frabotta (90+3')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Karic (20'), Brekalo (34'), Matko (51'), Gnezda Cerin (75')

Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Group Stage clash between Italy Under-21s and Slovenia Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-21s win with a probability of 91.82%. A draw had a probability of 6.2% and a win for Slovenia Under-21s had a probability of 2.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-21s win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.23%) and 2-0 (11.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.93%), while for a Slovenia Under-21s win it was 0-1 (0.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Italy Under-21s	Draw	Slovenia Under-21s
91.82%	6.17%	2.02%

Both teams to score 34.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.9%

24.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.23%

43.77%

Italy Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.1%

2.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

86.81%

13.19%

Slovenia Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

35.83%

64.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.36%

92.64%

Score Analysis

Italy Under-21s 91.81%

Slovenia Under-21s 2.02%

Draw 6.17%

Italy Under-21s	Draw	Slovenia Under-21s
3-0 @ 13.8% 4-0 @ 12.23% 2-0 @ 11.69% 5-0 @ 8.67% 1-0 @ 6.6% 3-1 @ 6.13% 4-1 @ 5.43% 2-1 @ 5.19% 6-0 @ 5.12% 5-1 @ 3.85% 7-0 @ 2.59% 6-1 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.2% 7-1 @ 1.15% 8-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.4% Total : 91.81%	1-1 @ 2.93% 0-0 @ 1.86% 2-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.22% Total : 6.17%	Other @ 2.02% Total : 2.02%