European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage

Jun 25, 2023 at 5pm UK

Cluj Arena

Switzerland U21s
2 - 3
Italy U21s

Imeri (47'), Amdouni (52')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Pirola (6'), Gnonto (11'), Parisi (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Switzerland Under-21s and Italy Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Switzerland Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Norway U21s 1-2 Switzerland U21s
Thursday, June 22 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France Under-21s	1	1	3
2	Switzerland Under-21s	1	1	3
3	Italy Under-21s	1	-1	0
4	Norway Under-21s	1	-1	0

Italy Under-21s

All competitions

European Under-21 Championship

Last Game: France U21s 2-1 Italy U21s
Thursday, June 22 at 7.45pm in European Under-21 Championship

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France Under-21s	1	1	3
2	Switzerland Under-21s	1	1	3
3	Italy Under-21s	1	-1	0
4	Norway Under-21s	1	-1	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-21s win with a probability of 74.51%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Switzerland Under-21s had a probability of 8.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-21s win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.66%) and 0-3 (10.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Switzerland Under-21s win it was 1-0 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Italy Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Switzerland Under-21s	Draw	Italy Under-21s
8.71% ( 0.04)	16.78% ( 0.03)	74.51% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 41.56% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.92% (

0.02)

45.07% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.58% (

0.02)

67.42% (

-0.02)

Switzerland Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.43% (

0.12)

53.56% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.99% (

0.07)

87% (

-0.07)

Italy Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.51% (

-0.01)

10.49% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.86% (

-0.03)

34.13% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Switzerland Under-21s 8.71%

Italy Under-21s 74.5%

Draw 16.78%

Switzerland Under-21s	Draw	Italy Under-21s
1-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.64% Total : 8.71%	1-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.48% Total : 16.78%	0-2 @ 14.28% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 10.73% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 6.05% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.78% ( 0) 0-5 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.71% 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0) 0-6 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 74.5%