Switzerland national football team
European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Jun 25, 2023 at 5pm UK
Cluj Arena

Switzerland U21s
2 - 3
Italy U21s

Imeri (47'), Amdouni (52')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Pirola (6'), Gnonto (11'), Parisi (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Switzerland Under-21s and Italy Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Switzerland Under-21s

Last Game: Spain U21s 2-1 Switzerland U21s
Saturday, July 1 at 8pm in European Under-21s Championship

Italy Under-21s

Last Game: Italy U21s 0-1 Norway U21s
Wednesday, June 28 at 7.45pm in European Under-21s Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-21s win with a probability of 74.51%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Switzerland Under-21s had a probability of 8.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-21s win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.66%) and 0-3 (10.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Switzerland Under-21s win it was 1-0 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Italy Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Switzerland Under-21sDrawItaly Under-21s
8.71% (0.045 0.04)16.78% (0.027999999999999 0.03)74.51% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)
Both teams to score 41.56% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.92% (0.023000000000003 0.02)45.07% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.58% (0.023000000000003 0.02)67.42% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Switzerland Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.43% (0.119 0.12)53.56% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.99% (0.074000000000002 0.07)87% (-0.074999999999989 -0.07)
Italy Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.51% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)10.49% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.86% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)34.13% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Switzerland Under-21s 8.71%
    Italy Under-21s 74.5%
    Draw 16.78%
Switzerland Under-21sDrawItaly Under-21s
1-0 @ 3.51% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 2.47% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.1% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 8.71%
1-1 @ 7.91% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.78% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 16.78%
0-2 @ 14.28% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 12.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 10.73% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.92% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.7% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-4 @ 6.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 2.73% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.71%
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-6 @ 1.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 74.5%

How you voted: Switzerland U21s vs Italy U21s

Switzerland Under-21s
22.2%
Draw
18.5%
Italy Under-21s
59.3%
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