MX23RW : Tuesday, May 7 15:11:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
Birmingham logo
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Huddersfield logo
Hull logo
Ipswich logo
Leeds logo
Leicester logo
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Plymouth Argyle
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Rotherham logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Southampton logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Millwall logo
Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Leicester logo

Millwall
1 - 0
Leicester

Longman (59')
Honeyman (11'), Saville (83'), Sarkic (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Winks (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-3 Leicester City

After some vital home victories, a solid away performance at The Den would be a massive statement in the Championship promotion race for Leicester. The wind would have been taken out of Millwall's sails after the last-minute defeat at Huddersfield, and the visit of the league leaders is not an ideal opportunity for the Lions to regain their footing in the highly-competitive relegation battle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawLeicester City
32.66% (0.631 0.63) 26.17% (0.329 0.33) 41.17% (-0.959 -0.96)
Both teams to score 53.01% (-0.848 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.55% (-1.194 -1.19)51.45% (1.195 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.74% (-1.051 -1.05)73.26% (1.052 1.05)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.38% (-0.176 -0.18)29.62% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.34% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)65.66% (0.217 0.22)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.32% (-1.016 -1.02)24.69% (1.016 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.78% (-1.442 -1.44)59.22% (1.442 1.44)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 32.66%
    Leicester City 41.17%
    Draw 26.16%
MillwallDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 8.9% (0.375 0.38)
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.065 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.41% (0.203 0.2)
3-1 @ 3.07% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 32.66%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 7.31% (0.343 0.34)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 10.23% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 8.71% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-2 @ 7.16% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.06% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-3 @ 3.34% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 41.17%

How you voted: Millwall vs Leicester

Millwall
15.0%
Draw
13.0%
Leicester City
72.0%
100
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 12.30pm
Third Round
Millwall
2-3
Leicester
Watmore (56'), Flemming (86')
Flemming (69')
Casadei (16'), Pereira (39'), Cannon (61')
Cannon (90+3')
Dec 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Leicester
3-2
Millwall
Vestergaard (48'), Daka (52'), Pereira (78')
Coady (37'), Faes (82')
Bradshaw (10'), Nisbet (90+3')
Harding (13'), Cooper (21'), Wallace (24'), Saville (75')
Sep 22, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Millwall
0-2
Leicester
Lookman (50'), Iheanacho (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!