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Atlanta United
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Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Park
Atlanta United

Chicago Fire
3 - 3
Atlanta

Sanchez (42' og.), Haile-Selassie (49'), Koutsias (89')
Navarro (3'), Herbers (45+2'), Gutierrez (58'), Czichos (87')
Navarro (26')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gutman (29'), Giakoumakis (55', 65')
Ibarra (41'), Araujo (69'), Diop (90')
Araujo (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-1 Chicago Fire
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 4-0 Colorado
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 2-1 Atlanta United

With the two most porous teams in the MLS going head-to-head, we are anticipating an exciting affair and goals at both ends. That said, we just about fancy Chicago Fire to come out on top in the end.

How to watch

You can watch Chicago Fire vs. Atlanta United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Chicago FireDrawAtlanta United
47.87% (0.00099999999999767 0) 24.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.7% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 56% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.67% (0.014000000000003 0.01)46.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.39% (0.012 0.01)68.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.56% (0.0049999999999955 0)19.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)51.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)30.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.3% (0.011000000000003 0.01)66.7% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 47.87%
    Atlanta United 27.7%
    Draw 24.43%
Chicago FireDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 9.7% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.44%
2-0 @ 7.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.34%
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.78%
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 47.87%
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.92% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.43%
0-1 @ 7.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.18%
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 27.7%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 9.30pm
Atlanta
2-1
Chicago Fire
Giakoumakis (13'), Haile-Selassie (90+9' og.)
Giakoumakis (24')
Przybylko (90')
Herbers (34'), Teran (77'), Gimenez (80'), Dean (90+5')
Jul 30, 2022 10pm
Chicago Fire
0-0
Atlanta

Duran (41'), Shaqiri (63')

Sosa (81'), Dwyer (90+5')
May 7, 2022 11pm
Atlanta
4-1
Chicago Fire
Cisneros (3', 27', 36'), Lennon (90+1')
Araujo (45+4')
Offor (11')
Navarro (30'), Offor (36'), Mueller (72')
Jul 4, 2021 1am
gameweek 13
Chicago Fire
3-0
Atlanta
Aliseda (34', 45+6'), Frankowski (58')
Bornstein (26'), Frankowski (31')

Bello (27'), Wolff (52'), Walkes (69')
Apr 25, 2021 1am
gameweek 2
Atlanta
3-1
Chicago Fire
Barco (23'), Kappelhof (66' og.), Hyndman (85')
Mulraney (27'), Barco (70'), Hyndman (81')
Stojanovic (46')
Gimenez (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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