League One

League One | Gameweek 32

Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK

Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers
3 - 1
Burton Albion

Martin (13', 13', 13'), Thomas (87'), Hutchinson (90+9')
Martin (35'), Thomas (69')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Tavares (82')
Chauke (66'), Bennett (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Stockport
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Burton Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-1 Blackpool
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Bristol Rovers	Draw	Burton Albion
41.04% ( 0.14)	27.51% ( -0.08)	31.45% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 48.5% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.98% (

0.29)

57.02% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.09% (

0.23)

77.91% (

-0.23)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.69% (

0.21)

27.31% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.25% (

0.27)

62.75% (

-0.27)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.71% (

0.11)

33.28% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.1% (

0.12)

69.9% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Bristol Rovers 41.03%

Burton Albion 31.45%

Draw 27.5%

Bristol Rovers	Draw	Burton Albion
1-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 41.03%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.5%	0-1 @ 10% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.45%