World Cup Qualifying - South America
Sep 7, 2024 2.00am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Rodrygo 30' goal
  • Rodrygo 30' goal
  • Lucas Moura 78' yellowcard
  • Lucas Moura 78' yellowcard

Brazil vs Ecuador - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Nov 22, 2023 12.30am
Brazil 0 - 1 Argentina

Ecuador

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Nov 21, 2023 11.30pm
Ecuador 1 - 0 Chile

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 64.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 13.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.77%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brazil in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brazil.

Result

Brazil 64.01% (-1.46)
Draw 22.56% (+0.81)
Ecuador 13.43% (+0.65)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.09% (-0.50)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.74% (-1.67)
Under 2.5 56.26% (+1.67)
Over 3.5 22.7% (-1.37)
Under 3.5 77.3% (+1.37)
Over 4.5 9.93% (-0.84)
Under 4.5 90.07% (+0.84)

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5 82.9% (-1.08)
Under 0.5 17.09% (+1.08)
Over 1.5 52.71% (-1.94)
Under 1.5 47.29% (+1.94)

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5 48.35% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 51.64% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 14.23% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 85.77% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Brazil 64.01%
Draw 22.55%
Ecuador 13.43%
Brazil
1-0 @ 15.59% (+0.43)
2-0 @ 13.77% (-0.12)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 8.11% (-0.37)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.24)
4-0 @ 3.58% (-0.30)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.20)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.08)
5-0 @ 1.27% (-0.16)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 64.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.3% (+0.31)
0-0 @ 8.83% (+0.56)
2-2 @ 3.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.55%
Ecuador
0-1 @ 5.83% (+0.37)
1-2 @ 3.41% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 1.93% (+0.13)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 13.43%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - South America
Jan 27, 2022 9.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Alexander Dominguez 15' redcard
  • Enner Valencia 70' yellowcard
  • Felix Torres 75' goal
  • Moises Caicedo 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emerson 1'
  • goal Casemiro 6'
  • redcard Emerson 20'
  • yellowcard Alisson Becker 31'
  • yellowcard Raphinha 42'
  • yellowcard Eder Militao 45'+2'
Copa America
Jun 27, 2021 10.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Eder Militao 37' goal
  • goal Angel Mena 53'
  • yellowcard Pervis Estupinan 83'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Jun 5, 2021 1.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fred 36' yellowcard
  • Fred 37' yellowcard
  • Richarlison 65' goal
  • Eder Militao 73' yellowcard
  • Neymar 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Angelo Preciado 26'
  • yellowcard Angelo Preciado 27'
  • yellowcard Enner Valencia 54'
  • yellowcard Enner Valencia 55'
  • yellowcard Ayrton Preciado 69'
  • yellowcard Alexander Dominguez Carabali 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Alexander Dominguez 90'+2'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Sep 1, 2017 1.45am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Paulinho 69' goal
  • Philippe Coutinho 76' goal
International Friendlies
Sep 10, 2014 2.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Willian 31' goal
  • yellowcard Frickson Erazo 80'