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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 26
Jul 25, 2023 at 12.45am UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors
2 - 1
Newell's OB

Hoyos (21' og.), Medina (46')
Valentini (55'), Merentiel (58'), Fernandez (62'), Valdez (73'), Medina (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Eduardo Recalde (90+2')
Mosquera (70'), Eduardo Recalde (85')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Newell's Old Boys.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newell's OB 0-0 Tucuman
Tuesday, July 18 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 52.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 20.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawNewell's Old Boys
52.33% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 27.2% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 20.47% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 40.91% (0.126 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.61% (0.116 0.12)62.39% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.98% (0.082999999999998 0.08)82.02% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.83% (0.024000000000001 0.02)24.17% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.51% (0.036999999999999 0.04)58.49% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.95% (0.14700000000001 0.15)46.05% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.24% (0.113 0.11)81.76% (-0.119 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 52.32%
    Newell's Old Boys 20.47%
    Draw 27.19%
Boca JuniorsDrawNewell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 15.8% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 11.22% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.31% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 52.32%
1-1 @ 12.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.12% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.37% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 27.19%
0-1 @ 8.63% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 4.75% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.35% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.23% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 20.47%

Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 7.30pm
Nov 30, 2021 10.15pm
Second Phase
Boca Juniors
0-0
Newell's OB
Almendra (73')
Perez (45'), Gonzalez (45'), Cacciabue (82')
Feb 22, 2021 12.30am
First Phase
Newell's OB
0-1
Boca Juniors
Llano (64'), Capasso (70')
Nov 29, 2020 10.20pm
Group Stage
Boca Juniors
2-0
Newell's OB
Cardona (12', 20')
Villa (36'), Izquierdoz (58')

Gabrielli (21'), Fernandez (29'), Moreno (72')
Gabrielli (40')
Nov 9, 2020 12.15am
Group Stage
Newell's OB
0-2
Boca Juniors
Tevez (41'), Lopez (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS


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