Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.