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Copa Diego Maradona | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2020 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa

Newell's OB
0 - 2
Boca Juniors


Perez (55'), Rodriguez (56'), Gentiletti (81'), Guanini (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tevez (41'), Lopez (76')
Buffarini (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between Newell's Old Boys and Boca Juniors.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawBoca Juniors
30.07%26.69%43.24%
Both teams to score 50.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.63%54.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.25%75.75%
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.1%32.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.52%69.48%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06%24.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.43%59.57%
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 30.07%
    Boca Juniors 43.23%
    Draw 26.68%
Newell's Old BoysDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 9.12%
2-1 @ 7.04%
2-0 @ 5.07%
3-1 @ 2.61%
3-0 @ 1.88%
3-2 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 30.07%
1-1 @ 12.66%
0-0 @ 8.21%
2-2 @ 4.89%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 11.39%
1-2 @ 8.8%
0-2 @ 7.91%
1-3 @ 4.07%
0-3 @ 3.66%
2-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.41%
0-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 43.23%

Head to Head
Sep 29, 2019 12am
Gameweek 8
Boca Juniors
1-1
Newell's OB
Izquierdoz (31')
Almendra (13')
Insaurralde (80')
Kudelka (33'), Gentiletti (38'), Villarruel (45'), Rodriguez (48'), Lema (77')
Jan 28, 2019 12.30am
Gameweek 16
Newell's OB
1-1
Boca Juniors
Rodriguez (25')
Rodriguez (26'), Rivero (69')
Benedetto (78')
Mas (63')
rhs 2.0
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