MX23RW : Tuesday, April 30 03:32:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Atletico Tucuman
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 26
Jul 23, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro
Independiente

Tucuman
1 - 0
Independiente

Estigarribia (19' pen.)
Guille (23'), Romero (41'), Ortiz (63'), Ruiz (68'), Bianchi (86'), Ojeda (90+7')
Bianchi (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Costa (45+4'), Ortiz (70'), Laso (73'), Martinez (90+4'), Gimenez Rojas (90+6')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Atletico Tucuman and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newell's OB 0-0 Tucuman
Tuesday, July 18 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: C. Cordoba 0-1 Independiente
Monday, July 17 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 43.36%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 26.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.6%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Tucuman in this match.

Result
Atletico TucumanDrawIndependiente
43.36% (0.052 0.05) 30.33% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 26.31% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 38.85% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.19% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)67.81% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.19% (-0.012 -0.01)85.81% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.67% (0.022000000000006 0.02)31.32% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.31% (0.024999999999999 0.02)67.68% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.57% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)43.43% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.35% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)79.65% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Tucuman 43.35%
    Independiente 26.31%
    Draw 30.32%
Atletico TucumanDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 15.79% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.17% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.55% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 43.35%
0-0 @ 13.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-1 @ 13.17%
2-2 @ 3.19% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 30.32%
0-1 @ 11.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 26.31%

Head to Head
Jul 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Independiente
0-1
Tucuman

Barreto (31'), Elizalde (78')
Lotti (1')
Ruiz (49'), Acosta (62')
Aug 24, 2021 10.45pm
Second Phase
Tucuman
2-0
Independiente
Mussis (86'), Tesuri (87')
Campos (44'), Tesuri (88')

Ortega (45+2'), Ostachuk (56')
May 2, 2021 4.10pm
First Phase
Independiente
0-1
Tucuman

Barreto (55'), Romero (74')
Heredia (44')
Toledo (5'), Bustos (64'), Albornoz (72'), Acosta (85')
Nov 6, 2020 12.30am
Oct 30, 2020 12.30am
Second Stage
Independiente
1-0
Tucuman
Romero (27' pen.)
Romero (42')

Carrera (27'), Mussis (31'), Acosta (50')
Carrera (49')
rhs 2.0
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