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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 11
Oct 28, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdul Aziz Stadium

Al Wahda
2 - 3
Al Ettifaq

Goodwin (37', 51')
Al Issa (54'), Al Bukhari (90+4'), van Crooij (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wijnaldum (18', 81'), Gray (90+8')
Henderson (58'), Hendry (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Wahda and Al Ettifaq, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Ahli 3-1 Al Wahda
Saturday, October 21 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Riyadh 1-0 Al Ettifaq
Sunday, October 22 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Wahda 1-2 Al Ettifaq

While both these sides have been finding wins hard to come by of late, the visitors undoubtedly have the class to come away with the points in this match. They will also be back to their full squad with key players returning to action, and we feel they will just about edge this match by a one-goal margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wahda win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Wahda win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Al Ettifaq win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Al Ettifaq would win this match.

Result
Al WahdaDrawAl Ettifaq
38.5% (0.196 0.2) 25.88% (-0.07 -0.07) 35.62% (-0.121 -0.12)
Both teams to score 54.59% (0.227 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.31% (0.296 0.3)49.69% (-0.291 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.29% (0.265 0.27)71.7% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Al Wahda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7% (0.244 0.24)25.3% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.93% (0.333 0.33)60.07% (-0.328 -0.33)
Al Ettifaq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.07% (0.069000000000003 0.07)26.92% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.75% (0.090000000000003 0.09)62.25% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Al Wahda 38.5%
    Al Ettifaq 35.62%
    Draw 25.87%
Al WahdaDrawAl Ettifaq
1-0 @ 9.36% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.43% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.87% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 38.5%
1-1 @ 12.28% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.81% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 8.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.86% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 35.62%

How you voted: Al Wahda vs Al Ettifaq

Al Wahda
14.3%
Draw
0.0%
Al Ettifaq
85.7%
7
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal31292095207589
2Al-Nassr31252493375677
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli31177761342758
4Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun311410748341452
5Al Ittihad31155115648850
6Al Ettifaq31111194132944
7Al Fateh31119115248442
8Al Fayha31119114249-742
9Al ShababAl Shabab31118124238441
10Damac31109124139239
11Al Khaleej3199133342-936
12Al WahdaAl Wahda31105164356-1335
13Al RaedAl Raed3188153948-932
14Al Riyadh3179152853-2530
15Abha3185183479-4529
16Al Okhdood3184192950-2128
17Al Tai3177173058-2828
18Al Hazem31311173072-4220


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