FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Stan Robinson Stadium

Willand Rovers
2 - 0
St Austell

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Willand Rovers and St Austell.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willand Rovers win with a probability of 52.93%. A win for St Austell had a probability of 26.54% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willand Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.51%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest St Austell win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willand Rovers would win this match.

Result
Willand RoversDrawSt Austell
52.93% (0.191 0.19)20.53% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)26.54% (-0.18 -0.18)
Both teams to score 69.17% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.36% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)28.64% (0.103 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.47% (-0.129 -0.13)49.53% (0.127 0.13)
Willand Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02)11.28% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.1% (0.035000000000011 0.04)35.9% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
St Austell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (-0.17 -0.17)22.04% (0.168 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.63% (-0.255 -0.26)55.37% (0.255 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Willand Rovers 52.93%
    St Austell 26.54%
    Draw 20.53%
Willand RoversDrawSt Austell
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.51% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.92% (0.044 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.43% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.3% (0.035 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.55% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.69% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.35% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.55% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.17%
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 52.93%
1-1 @ 8.21% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.77% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.49% (0.015 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 20.53%
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 3.76% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.84% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-4 @ 0.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 26.54%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Willand Rovers