Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willand Rovers win with a probability of 52.93%. A win for St Austell had a probability of 26.54% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willand Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.51%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest St Austell win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willand Rovers would win this match.