FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Recreation Ground

Colney Heath
1 - 2
Takeley

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Colney Heath and Takeley.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colney Heath win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for Takeley had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colney Heath win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Takeley win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Colney HeathDrawTakeley
45.54% (0.469 0.47)22.96% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)31.49% (-0.447 -0.45)
Both teams to score 63.69% (-0.142 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.71% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)37.29% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.5% (-0.101 -0.1)59.5% (0.1 0.1)
Colney Heath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.18% (0.14500000000001 0.15)16.81% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.2% (0.25700000000001 0.26)46.79% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Takeley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (-0.306 -0.31)23.43% (0.305 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57% (-0.442 -0.44)57.43% (0.442 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Colney Heath 45.54%
    Takeley 31.49%
    Draw 22.96%
Colney HeathDrawTakeley
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.03% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.26% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.4% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.92% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.07 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.41% (0.035 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 45.54%
1-1 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 6.59% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.94% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.9% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.96%
1-2 @ 7.4% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.72% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.15% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 31.49%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Colney Heath