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FA Cup

FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ascot Racecourse

Ashford Town
1 - 1
Uxbridge

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Ashford Town and Uxbridge.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uxbridge win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Ashford Town had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uxbridge win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.51%) and 1-3 (4.94%). The likeliest Ashford Town win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Ashford TownDrawUxbridge
37.03%22.35%40.62%
Both teams to score 67.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.46%32.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.81%54.18%
Ashford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.62%18.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.49%49.5%
Uxbridge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.16%16.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.17%46.83%
Score Analysis
    Ashford Town 37.03%
    Uxbridge 40.62%
    Draw 22.35%
Ashford TownDrawUxbridge
2-1 @ 7.91%
1-0 @ 5.24%
3-1 @ 4.47%
2-0 @ 4.44%
3-2 @ 3.98%
3-0 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.89%
4-2 @ 1.69%
4-0 @ 1.06%
4-3 @ 1%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 37.03%
1-1 @ 9.34%
2-2 @ 7.05%
0-0 @ 3.09%
3-3 @ 2.36%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 22.35%
1-2 @ 8.32%
0-1 @ 5.51%
1-3 @ 4.94%
0-2 @ 4.91%
2-3 @ 4.19%
0-3 @ 2.92%
1-4 @ 2.2%
2-4 @ 1.86%
0-4 @ 1.3%
3-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 40.62%