Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 7, 2024 at 6pm UK
Paksi FC Stadion

Paksi SE
3 - 0
Mornar

Bode (59'), Szabo (90+9' pen.), Toth (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Durisic (60'), Kaludjerovic (65'), Zoric (85'), Popovic (90+2')
Ondong (38'), Durisic (62')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Paksi SE and Mornar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Paksi SE 2-1 Ujpest
Sunday, August 4 at 5.50pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Mornar 2-1 Radnicki (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1MTK42.00Stieber
2Paksi SE42.00Windecker
3Puskas Academy42.00Colley
4Debrecen33.00Barany
5Diosgyor31.50Edomwonyi
6Fehervar31.50Babos
7Nyiregyhaza21.00Beke
8Ujpest21.00Ljujic
9Ferencvaros11.00Traore
10Gyor10.50Krivokapic
11Zalaegerszegi TE10.50Sajban
12Kecskemeti TE00.00

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 66.64%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Mornar had a probability of 13.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Mornar win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paksi SE would win this match.

Result
Paksi SEDrawMornar
66.64%20.03%13.33%
Both teams to score 47.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.32%46.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.05%68.94%
Paksi SE Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.9%13.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.28%39.72%
Mornar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.09%45.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.35%81.65%
Score Analysis
    Paksi SE 66.63%
    Mornar 13.33%
    Draw 20.03%
Paksi SEDrawMornar
2-0 @ 12.42%
1-0 @ 12.22%
2-1 @ 9.67%
3-0 @ 8.42%
3-1 @ 6.55%
4-0 @ 4.28%
4-1 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.55%
5-0 @ 1.74%
5-1 @ 1.35%
4-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 66.63%
1-1 @ 9.52%
0-0 @ 6.01%
2-2 @ 3.77%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 20.03%
0-1 @ 4.68%
1-2 @ 3.7%
0-2 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 0.98%
1-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 13.33%

How you voted: Paksi SE vs Mornar

Paksi SE
94.1%
Draw
5.9%
Mornar
0.0%
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