Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 7, 2024 at 6pm UK
Paksi FC Stadion
Paksi SE3 - 0Mornar
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Paksi SE and Mornar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Paksi SE 2-1 Ujpest
Sunday, August 4 at 5.50pm in Hungarian NB I
Sunday, August 4 at 5.50pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Mornar 2-1 Radnicki (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | MTK | 4 | 2.00 | Stieber |
| 2 | Paksi SE | 4 | 2.00 | Windecker |
| 3 | Puskas Academy | 4 | 2.00 | Colley |
| 4 | Debrecen | 3 | 3.00 | Barany |
| 5 | Diosgyor | 3 | 1.50 | Edomwonyi |
| 6 | Fehervar | 3 | 1.50 | Babos |
| 7 | Nyiregyhaza | 2 | 1.00 | Beke |
| 8 | Ujpest | 2 | 1.00 | Ljujic |
| 9 | Ferencvaros | 1 | 1.00 | Traore |
| 10 | Gyor | 1 | 0.50 | Krivokapic |
| 11 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 1 | 0.50 | Sajban |
| 12 | Kecskemeti TE | 0 | 0.00 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 66.64%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Mornar had a probability of 13.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Mornar win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paksi SE would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paksi SE | Draw | Mornar |
| 66.64% | 20.03% | 13.33% |
| Both teams to score 47.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.32% | 46.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.05% | 68.94% |
| Paksi SE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.9% | 13.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.28% | 39.72% |
| Mornar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.09% | 45.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.35% | 81.65% |
| Score Analysis |
Paksi SE 66.63%
Mornar 13.33%
Draw 20.03%
| Paksi SE | Draw | Mornar |
| 2-0 @ 12.42% 1-0 @ 12.22% 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 8.42% 3-1 @ 6.55% 4-0 @ 4.28% 4-1 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.55% 5-0 @ 1.74% 5-1 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.8% Total : 66.63% | 1-1 @ 9.52% 0-0 @ 6.01% 2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.73% Total : 20.03% | 0-1 @ 4.68% 1-2 @ 3.7% 0-2 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 0.98% 1-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.19% Total : 13.33% |
How you voted: Paksi SE vs Mornar
Paksi SE
94.1%Draw
5.9%Mornar
0.0%17
Form Guide


