Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 7, 2024 at 6pm UK
Paksi FC Stadion
Paksi SE3 - 0Mornar
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Paksi SE and Mornar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Paksi SE 2-1 Ujpest
Sunday, August 4 at 5.50pm in Hungarian NB I
Sunday, August 4 at 5.50pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Mornar 2-1 Radnicki (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | MTK | 4 | 2.00 | Stieber |
| 2 | Paksi SE | 4 | 2.00 | Windecker |
| 3 | Puskas Academy | 4 | 2.00 | Colley |
| 4 | Debrecen | 3 | 3.00 | Barany |
| 5 | Diosgyor | 3 | 1.50 | Edomwonyi |
| 6 | Fehervar | 3 | 1.50 | Babos |
| 7 | Nyiregyhaza | 2 | 1.00 | Beke |
| 8 | Ujpest | 2 | 1.00 | Ljujic |
| 9 | Ferencvaros | 1 | 1.00 | Traore |
| 10 | Gyor | 1 | 0.50 | Krivokapic |
| 11 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 1 | 0.50 | Sajban |
| 12 | Kecskemeti TE | 0 | 0.00 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 66.64%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Mornar had a probability of 13.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Mornar win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paksi SE would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paksi SE | Draw | Mornar |
| 66.64% | 20.03% | 13.33% |
| Both teams to score 47.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
