Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 1, 2024 at 5pm UK
AEK Arena - George Karapatakis

Larnaca
0 - 2
Paksi SE


Cabrera (19'), Angel (35')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Windecker (19'), Papp (42')
Osvath (37'), Bor (73')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between AEK Larnaca and Paksi SE.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Paksi SE 3-0 Larnaca
Thursday, July 25 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Larnaca win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Paksi SE had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Larnaca win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Paksi SE win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
AEK LarnacaDrawPaksi SE
39.52% (0.125 0.13)24.39% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)36.08% (-0.129 -0.13)
Both teams to score 59.89% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.13% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)42.87% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.73% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)65.27% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
AEK Larnaca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28% (0.044000000000011 0.04)21.73% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.11% (0.062999999999995 0.06)54.89% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Paksi SE Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.51% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)23.49% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.49% (-0.13 -0.13)57.51% (0.134 0.13)
Score Analysis
    AEK Larnaca 39.52%
    Paksi SE 36.08%
    Draw 24.39%
AEK LarnacaDrawPaksi SE
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.95% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.03% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 39.52%
1-1 @ 11.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.1% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.39%
1-2 @ 8.18% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.36% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.95% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 36.08%

How you voted: Larnaca vs Paksi SE

AEK Larnaca
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Paksi SE
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Jul 25, 2024 7pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Paksi SE
3-0
Larnaca
Haraszti (17'), Toth (61'), Otvos (74')
Vecsei (24'), Papp (44'), Kinyik (90+2')

Gustavo (42'), Roberge (74'), Alomerovic (90+2')