Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest AEK Larnaca win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paksi SE would win this match.