Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Diosgyor win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Paksi SE had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Diosgyor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Paksi SE win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.