Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Oct 2, 2020 at 3am UK
Estadio Jocay
Defensa y Justicia

Delfin
3 - 0
Defensa

Corozo (12'), Valencia (72'), Garces (75')
Garces (65'), Joao Ortiz Landazuri (68'), Ortiz (68'), Gonzalez (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Acevedo (32'), Benitez (35'), Martinez (62'), Tripichio (71'), Merentiel (90+2')
Breitenbruch (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Delfin and Defensa y Justicia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Delfin had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Delfin win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
DelfinDrawDefensa y Justicia
32.45%27.47%40.08%
Both teams to score 48.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.36%56.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.4%77.6%
Delfin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.61%32.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.1%68.9%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.34%27.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.8%63.2%
Score Analysis
    Delfin 32.44%
    Defensa y Justicia 40.08%
    Draw 27.46%
DelfinDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 10.09%
2-1 @ 7.32%
2-0 @ 5.69%
3-1 @ 2.75%
3-0 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.44%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 8.96%
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.46%
0-1 @ 11.51%
1-2 @ 8.34%
0-2 @ 7.4%
1-3 @ 3.57%
0-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1.15%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 40.08%