Gent
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 9
May 18, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
GHELAMCO-arena
Genk

Gent
1 - 4
Genk

Vanzeir (9')
Samoise (58')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sor (32'), Soumah (45' og.), Adedeji-Sternberg (70'), Arokodare (88')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Gent and Genk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gent

All competitions
Last Game: Gent 0-3 Antwerp
Sunday, May 11 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Genk

All competitions
Last Game: Genk 0-2 Brugge
Sunday, May 11 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 52.34%. A win for Gent had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Gent win was 2-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.

Result
GentDrawGenk
25.3% (0.00099999999999767 0)22.36% (0.072000000000003 0.07)52.34% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Both teams to score 60.96% (-0.263 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.21% (-0.346 -0.35)38.78% (0.347 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.9% (-0.366 -0.37)61.09% (0.36600000000001 0.37)
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)28.32% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.94% (-0.236 -0.24)64.05% (0.23699999999999 0.24)
Genk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.05% (-0.146 -0.15)14.95% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.64% (-0.278 -0.28)43.35% (0.278 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Gent 25.3%
    Genk 52.34%
    Draw 22.36%
GentDrawGenk
2-1 @ 6.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 5.34% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 3.37% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 25.3%
1-1 @ 10.15% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.36%
1-2 @ 9.65% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.05% (0.089999999999999 0.09)
0-2 @ 7.65% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 6.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.85% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.86% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.9% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.83% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.1% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 52.34%

Head to Head
Mar 30, 2025 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Genk
4-0
Gent
Karetsas (38'), Arokodare (50'), Oh (88', 90+1')
Karetsas (36')
Feb 23, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 27
Genk
0-0
Gent
Smets (27'), El Ouahdi (78')
Ito (18'), Samoise (32')
Oct 27, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Gent
0-2
Genk

Samoise (37'), Delorge (85')
Arokodare (46'), Steuckers (58' pen.)
Hrosovsky (69'), Arokodare (76')
Jun 2, 2024 12.30pm
Genk
0-1
Gent

Mujaid (17'), El Khannous (29'), El Ouahdi (81'), McKenzie (82'), Baah (90+5')
Hjulsager (60')
Samoise (21'), Tissoudali (90+5')
> Preview
Dec 3, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 16
Genk
2-2
Gent
Sor (21', 51')
Fadera (66'), Sor (73')
Tissoudali (12', 90+9')
Kums (57'), Fortuna (71')