Genk
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 4
Apr 20, 2025 at 3pm UK
Luminus Arena

Genk
1 - 2
Union SG

Arokodare (90+3')
El Ouahdi (40')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Akinpelu (42' pen., 50')
Niang (10'), Van de Perre (16')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Genk and Union SG.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genk

All competitions
Last Game: Brugge 1-0 Genk
Sunday, April 13 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Union SG

All competitions
Last Game: Union SG 2-0 Anderlecht
Saturday, April 12 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
GenkDrawUnion SG
47.23% (1.251 1.25)25.34% (-0.351 -0.35)27.42% (-0.905 -0.91)
Both teams to score 52.85% (0.449 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.63% (0.89 0.89)50.37% (-0.894 -0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.69% (0.784 0.78)72.31% (-0.78899999999999 -0.79)
Genk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (0.931 0.93)21.33% (-0.936 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.71% (1.42 1.42)54.29% (-1.425 -1.43)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.19% (-0.23 -0.23)32.81% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.62% (-0.257 -0.26)69.38% (0.252 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Genk 47.23%
    Union SG 27.42%
    Draw 25.34%
GenkDrawUnion SG
1-0 @ 10.81% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.131 0.13)
2-0 @ 8.35% (0.169 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.79% (0.199 0.2)
3-0 @ 4.3% (0.204 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.095 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.126 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.122 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 47.23%
1-1 @ 12.05% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 7% (-0.257 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.041 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 7.8% (-0.336 -0.34)
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.216 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 27.42%

How you voted: Genk vs Union SG

Genk
65.2%
Draw
21.7%
Union SG
13.0%
23
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Genk
2-1
Union SG
Arokodare (69'), Oh (83')
Heynen (54')
Ait El Hadj (89')
Nov 10, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Union SG
4-0
Genk
Lapoussin (4'), Akinpelu (45', 64'), Sadiki (51')
Machida (55'), Ait El Hadj (57'), Burgess (74')

Mujaid (51'), Heynen (56'), Van Crombrugge (73'), Arokodare (75')
May 26, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Union SG
2-0
Genk
Vanhoutte (37'), Nilsson (80' pen.)
Teklab (42'), Vanhoutte (66'), Burgess (88')

Zeqiri (63')
El Ouahdi (78')
> Preview
Apr 1, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Genk
1-0
Union SG
Arokodare (27')
El Khannous (83')

Sykes (83'), Castro-Montes (90+6')
Burgess (90+5')
Feb 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Genk
0-1
Union SG

Hrosovsky (53')
El Amine Amoura (67')
Moris (16'), Burgess (25'), Nilsson (71'), Vanhoutte (90+2')