Belgian Pro League Gameweek 30
Mar 15, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Luminus Arena
  • Bryan Heynen 54' yellowcard
  • Tolu Arokodare 69' goal
  • Hyun-Gyu Oh 83' goal
  • goal Anouar Ait El Hadj 89'

Genk vs Union SG - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Genk

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 7.45pm
Dender 0 - 1 Genk
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Tolu Arokodare

Union SG

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Mar 9, 2025 6.15pm
Union SG 3 - 0 Standard Liege
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Promise Akinpelu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.

Result

Genk 40.72% (-0.64)
Draw 25.67% (+0.08)
Union SG 33.61% (+0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.9% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.88% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 49.12% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 28.81% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 71.19% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 13.85% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 86.14% (+0.13)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5 76.12% (-0.41)
Under 0.5 23.88% (+0.41)
Over 1.5 41.92% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 58.08% (+0.59)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5 72.13% (+0.25)
Under 0.5 27.87% (-0.26)
Over 1.5 36.52% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 63.48% (-0.32)

Score analysis

Genk 40.72%
Draw 25.67%
Union SG 33.61%
Genk
1-0 @ 9.53% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3.26% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 40.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.17% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.66% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.67%
Union SG
0-1 @ 8.5% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 7.78% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 5.43% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 3.31% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.37% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.31% (+0.07)
1-4 @ 1.06% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 33.61%

Head to Head

Belgian Pro League Gameweek 14
Nov 10, 2024 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Joseph Marien (Bruxelles (Brussels))
  • Loic Lapoussin 4' goal
  • Promise Akinpelu 45' goal
  • Noah Sadiki 51' goal
  • Koki Machida 55' yellowcard
  • Anouar Ait El Hadj 57' yellowcard
  • Promise Akinpelu 64' goal
  • Christian Burgess 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mujaid 51'
  • yellowcard Bryan Heynen 56'
  • yellowcard Hendrik Van Crombrugge 73'
  • yellowcard Tolu Arokodare 75'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 10
May 26, 2024 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Joseph Marien
  • Charles Vanhoutte 37' goal
  • Henok Teklab 42' yellowcard
  • Charles Vanhoutte 66' yellowcard
  • Gustaf Nilsson 80' goal
  • Christian Burgess 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andi Zeqiri 63'
  • redcard Zakaria El Ouahdi 78'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 1
Apr 1, 2024 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Luminus Arena
  • Tolu Arokodare 27' goal
  • Bilal El Khannous 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ross Sykes 83'
  • redcard Christian Burgess 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Alessio Castro-Montes 90'+6'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 24
Feb 3, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Luminus Arena
  • Patrik Hrosovsky 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anthony Moris 16'
  • yellowcard Christian Burgess 25'
  • goal Mohamed El Amine Amoura 67'
  • yellowcard Gustaf Nilsson 71'
  • yellowcard Charles Vanhoutte 90'+2'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 7
Sep 16, 2023 5.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Joseph Marien
  • Charles Vanhoutte 34' yellowcard
  • goal Andi Zeqiri 16'
  • yellowcard Luca Oyen 29'
  • yellowcard Bilal El Khannous 43'
  • yellowcard Daniel Munoz 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Matias Galarza 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Joseph Paintsil 51'
  • yellowcard Joris Kayembe 56'
  • goal Matias Galarza 90'+2'
Belgian Pro League Gameweek 4
May 21, 2023 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Luminus Arena
  • Mark McKenzie 13' goal
  • goal Victor Okoh Boniface 39'