Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.

Result
Genk	Draw	Union SG
40.72% ( -0.63)	25.67% ( 0.08)	33.61% ( 0.55)

Both teams to score 54.9% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.88% (

-0.2)

49.12% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.81% (

-0.18)

71.19% (

0.18)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.12% (

-0.41)

23.88% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.92% (

-0.58)

58.08% (

0.58)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.13% (

0.25)

27.87% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.52% (

0.32)

63.48% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Genk 40.72%

Union SG 33.61%

Draw 25.67%

Genk	Draw	Union SG
1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.95% Total : 40.72%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.84% Total : 33.61%