Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 65.77%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Anderlecht had a probability of 14.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for an Anderlecht win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Union SG in this match.