Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 58.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 18.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Royal Antwerp win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.