Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Genk had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.