Genk
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 1
Mar 30, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Luminus Arena
Gent

Genk
4 - 0
Gent

Arokodare (18', 50'), Karetsas (38'), Oh (88', 90+1')
Karetsas (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Genk and Gent.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genk

All competitions
Last Game: Genk 2-1 Union SG
Saturday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Gent

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Gent 1-2 Kortrijk
Sunday, March 16 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 52.61%. A win for Gent had a probability of 24.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Gent win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.

Result
GenkDrawGent
52.61% (0.052999999999997 0.05)23.23% (0.016999999999999 0.02)24.15% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.65% (-0.14299999999999 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.08% (-0.151 -0.15)43.91% (0.147 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.7% (-0.147 -0.15)66.29% (0.142 0.14)
Genk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.31% (-0.035999999999987 -0.04)16.69% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.43% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)46.57% (0.058 0.06)
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99% (-0.145 -0.14)32% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.53% (-0.163 -0.16)68.47% (0.158 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Genk 52.62%
    Gent 24.15%
    Draw 23.22%
GenkDrawGent
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 9.56% (0.051 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.56% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 52.62%
1-1 @ 10.89% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.22%
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.09% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 24.15%

Head to Head
Feb 23, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 27
Genk
0-0
Gent
Smets (27'), El Ouahdi (78')
Ito (18'), Samoise (32')
Oct 27, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Gent
0-2
Genk

Samoise (37'), Delorge (85')
Arokodare (46'), Steuckers (58' pen.)
Hrosovsky (69'), Arokodare (76')
Jun 2, 2024 12.30pm
Genk
0-1
Gent

Mujaid (17'), El Khannous (29'), El Ouahdi (81'), McKenzie (82'), Baah (90+5')
Hjulsager (60')
Samoise (21'), Tissoudali (90+5')
> Preview
Dec 3, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 16
Genk
2-2
Gent
Sor (21', 51')
Fadera (66'), Sor (73')
Tissoudali (12', 90+9')
Kums (57'), Fortuna (71')
Oct 8, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Gent
1-1
Genk
Samoise (84')
Kums (69')
Zeqiri (63')
Fadera (23'), Zeqiri (60'), Galarza (70')