Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.71%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Royal Antwerp win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.