Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 7
May 3, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien (Bruxelles (Brussels))
Genk

Union SG
1 - 0
Genk

Burgess (67')
Vanhoutte (41'), Akinpelu (45+1'), Van de Perre (56'), Mac Allister (66'), Burgess (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sory Bangoura (43'), Heynen (90+5'), El Ouahdi (90+2')
Sory Bangoura (51')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Union SG and Genk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Last Game: Union SG 0-0 Brugge
Sunday, April 27 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Genk

All competitions
Last Game: Genk 0-1 Antwerp
Sunday, April 27 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Genk had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Genk win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union SG in this match.

Result
Union SGDrawGenk
47.33% (-0.166 -0.17)25.2% (0.143 0.14)27.46% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.34% (-0.441 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.26% (-0.588 -0.59)49.74% (0.587 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.25% (-0.528 -0.53)71.75% (0.52799999999999 0.53)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96% (-0.31100000000001 -0.31)21.03% (0.31 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.17% (-0.489 -0.49)53.82% (0.489 0.49)
Genk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.55% (-0.294 -0.29)32.44% (0.291 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.03% (-0.332 -0.33)68.97% (0.33199999999999 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 47.33%
    Genk 27.46%
    Draw 25.19%
Union SGDrawGenk
1-0 @ 10.64% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.29% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.85% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 47.33%
1-1 @ 11.97% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.82% (0.161 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.121 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.74% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 27.46%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 4
Genk
1-2
Union SG
Arokodare (90+3')
El Ouahdi (40')
Akinpelu (42' pen., 50')
Niang (10'), Van de Perre (16')
Mar 15, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Genk
2-1
Union SG
Arokodare (69'), Oh (83')
Heynen (54')
Ait El Hadj (89')
Nov 10, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Union SG
4-0
Genk
Lapoussin (4'), Akinpelu (45', 64'), Sadiki (51')
Machida (55'), Ait El Hadj (57'), Burgess (74')

Mujaid (51'), Heynen (56'), Van Crombrugge (73'), Arokodare (75')
May 26, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Union SG
2-0
Genk
Vanhoutte (37'), Nilsson (80' pen.)
Teklab (42'), Vanhoutte (66'), Burgess (88')

Zeqiri (63')
El Ouahdi (78')
> Preview
Apr 1, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Genk
1-0
Union SG
Arokodare (27')
El Khannous (83')

Sykes (83'), Castro-Montes (90+6')
Burgess (90+5')