Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 59.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 18.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Royal Antwerp win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.