Genk
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 10
May 25, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Luminus Arena
Anderlecht

Genk
2 - 1
Anderlecht

El Ouahdi (21', 51')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Verschaeren (19')
Dendoncker (34'), Leoni (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Belgian Pro League clash between Genk and Anderlecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genk

All competitions
Last Game: Gent 1-4 Genk
Sunday, May 18 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Anderlecht

All competitions
Last Game: Anderlecht 1-3 Brugge
Sunday, May 18 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 54.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Anderlecht had a probability of 22.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for an Anderlecht win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.

Result
GenkDrawAnderlecht
54.03% (-1.189 -1.19)23.05% (0.262 0.26)22.91% (0.922 0.92)
Both teams to score 55.72% (0.36 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.56% (-0.108 -0.11)44.43% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.19% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)66.8% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Genk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.62% (-0.453 -0.45)16.37% (0.446 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.99% (-0.822 -0.82)46% (0.815 0.81)
Anderlecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63% (0.78100000000001 0.78)33.36% (-0.788 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.01% (0.849 0.85)69.99% (-0.85599999999999 -0.86)
Score Analysis
    Genk 54.03%
    Anderlecht 22.91%
    Draw 23.05%
GenkDrawAnderlecht
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.94% (-0.236 -0.24)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.39% (-0.227 -0.23)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.44% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 54.03%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.46% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.09 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.05%
0-1 @ 6% (0.153 0.15)
1-2 @ 5.96% (0.188 0.19)
0-2 @ 3.29% (0.152 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.113 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.075 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 22.91%

How you voted: Genk vs Anderlecht

Genk
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Anderlecht
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2025 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Anderlecht
1-2
Genk
Huerta (78')
Dendoncker (12'), Ashimeru (83')
Kayembe (32'), El Ouahdi (84')
Mujaid (90'), Sattlberger (90+3')
Dec 22, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 19
Genk
2-0
Anderlecht
Arokodare (29'), Karetsas (72')
Cuesta (25')

Dendoncker (48')
Sep 17, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 5
Anderlecht
0-2
Genk

Ashimeru (81')
Mujaid (37'), Adedeji-Sternberg (86')
Hrosovsky (71'), El Ouahdi (74')
May 11, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Anderlecht
2-1
Genk
Verschaeren (44'), Dolberg (70')
Delaney (42')
Arokodare (75')
Mujaid (45+2'), El Khannous (56')
Apr 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Genk
2-1
Anderlecht
Arokodare (14'), Zeqiri (90+1' pen.)
Galarza (90+9')
Dreyer (75')
Amuzu (38')