World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Jun 11, 2024 at 4pm UK

Respublikanskiy Stadion im. M.V. Frunze

Tajikistan
3 - 0
Pakistan

Mabatshoev (35'), Safarov (65'), Hanonov (70')
Samiev (45+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Saddam (6'), Umar Hayat (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Tajikistan and Pakistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tajikistan

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Jordan 3-0 Tajikistan
Thursday, June 6 at 6.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Qatar	3	5	9
2	Tajikistan	3	0	4
3	China	3	-1	2
4	Lebanon	3	-4	1

Pakistan

Last Game: Pakistan 0-3 Saudi Arabia
Thursday, June 6 at 4.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 86.17%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Pakistan had a probability of 3.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.47%) and 4-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.71%), while for a Pakistan win it was 0-1 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tajikistan would win this match.

Result
Tajikistan	Draw	Pakistan
86.17% ( 0.01)	9.94% ( -0)	3.89% ( -0)

Both teams to score 37.76% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.2% (

0.01)

32.8% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.51% (

0.01)

54.49% (

-0.01)

Tajikistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.79% (

5.22% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.38% (

0.01)

20.62% (

-0.01)

Pakistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

39.84% (

60.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.27% (

90.73%

Score Analysis

Tajikistan 86.16%

Pakistan 3.89%

Draw 9.94%

Tajikistan	Draw	Pakistan
2-0 @ 13.68% 3-0 @ 13.47% 4-0 @ 9.95% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.27% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.96% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.85% 5-0 @ 5.88% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.06% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.99% ( 0) 6-0 @ 2.89% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.74% 6-1 @ 1.47% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 3.47% Total : 86.16%	1-1 @ 4.71% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.14% ( -0) 2-2 @ 1.77% ( -0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 9.94%	0-1 @ 1.6% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.1% Total : 3.89%