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Tajikistan national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 11, 2024 at 4pm UK
Respublikanskiy Stadion im. M.V. Frunze
Pakistan national football team

Tajikistan
3 - 0
Pakistan

Mabatshoev (35'), Safarov (65'), Hanonov (70')
Samiev (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Saddam (6'), Umar Hayat (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Tajikistan and Pakistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Jordan 3-0 Tajikistan
Thursday, June 6 at 6.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Pakistan 0-3 Saudi Arabia
Thursday, June 6 at 4.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Tajikistan 4-0 Pakistan

Pakistan come into this game with one of the worst defensive and offensive records across the entire competition and we expect that to continue with a comfortably victory for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 86.17%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Pakistan had a probability of 3.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.47%) and 4-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.71%), while for a Pakistan win it was 0-1 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tajikistan would win this match.

Result
TajikistanDrawPakistan
86.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 9.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 3.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Both teams to score 37.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.2% (0.013000000000005 0.01)32.8% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.51% (0.013000000000005 0.01)54.49% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Tajikistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.79% (0.0049999999999955 0)5.22% (-0.0019 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.38% (0.010000000000005 0.01)20.62% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Pakistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.84% (0.0020000000000024 0)60.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.27% (0.0018999999999991 0)90.73%
Score Analysis
    Tajikistan 86.16%
    Pakistan 3.89%
    Draw 9.94%
TajikistanDrawPakistan
2-0 @ 13.68%
3-0 @ 13.47%
4-0 @ 9.95% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.27% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.85%
5-0 @ 5.88% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 5.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 2.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
6-0 @ 2.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.74%
6-1 @ 1.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
7-0 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 86.16%
1-1 @ 4.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 1.77% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 9.94%
0-1 @ 1.6% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 3.89%

How you voted: Tajikistan vs Pakistan

Tajikistan
50.0%
Draw
10.0%
Pakistan
40.0%
10
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2023 9am
Second Round
Pakistan
1-6
Tajikistan
Nabi (21')
Ghazi (60')
Kamolov (9', 66'), Soirov (13'), Umarbaev (26'), Panshanbe (45'), Samiev (90+1')
Umarbaev (4'), Safarov (35'), Juraboev (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

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1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

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1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

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1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 Austria Austria00000
3 France France00000
4 Poland Poland10010

Group E

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1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

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1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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