World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Sep 8, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Greece
2 - 1
Sweden

Bakasetas (62'), Pavlidis (78')
Pavlidis (8'), Bouchalakis (45+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Quaison (80')
Claesson (53'), Helander (70'), Kiese Thelin (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Greece and Sweden, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Sweden win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.

Result
Greece	Draw	Sweden
44.62%	25.64%	29.73%

Both teams to score 53.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.66%

50.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.72%

72.28%

Greece Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.49%

22.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.93%

56.07%

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.93%

31.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.61%

67.39%

Score Analysis

Greece 44.61%

Sweden 29.73%

Draw 25.64%

Greece	Draw	Sweden
1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 9.09% 2-0 @ 7.78% 3-1 @ 4.52% 3-0 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.19% Total : 44.61%	1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.64%	0-1 @ 8.17% 1-2 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 4.78% 1-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 2.95% Total : 29.73%

How you voted: Greece vs Sweden

Greece

14.6%

Draw

17.5%

Sweden

67.9%