Women's World Cup | Group Stage

Jul 24, 2023 at 7am UK

Eden Park

Italy Women
1 - 0
Argentina Women

Girelli (87')
Caruso (25'), Bonansea (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Larroquette (12'), Anahi Mayorga (68'), Florencia Bonsegundo (76'), Noemi Stabile (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Women's World Cup clash between Italy Women and Argentina Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Italy Women

All competitions

Last Game: S. Korea Women 1-2 Italy Women
Wednesday, February 22 at 4.45pm in Arnold Clark Cup

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden Women	1	1	3
2	Italy Women	0	0	0
3	Argentina Women	0	0	0
4	South Africa Women	1	-1	0

Argentina Women

Last Game: USA Women 6-0 Argentina Women
Thursday, February 25 at 12am in SheBelieves Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Women win with a probability of 84.08%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Argentina Women had a probability of 4.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.49%) and 1-0 (10.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.36%), while for an Argentina Women win it was 0-1 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy Women would win this match.

Result
Italy Women	Draw	Argentina Women
84.08% ( 0.27)	11.43% ( -0.18)	4.49% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 36.45% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.56% (

0.43)

37.44% (

-0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.34% (

0.46)

59.66% (

-0.47)

Italy Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.49% (

0.14)

6.51% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.71% (

0.39)

24.28% (

-0.39)

Argentina Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

38.99% (

-0.06)

61.01% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.84% (

-0.03)

91.16% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Italy Women 84.06%

Argentina Women 4.49%

Draw 11.43%

Italy Women	Draw	Argentina Women
2-0 @ 14.81% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 13.49% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.42% Total : 84.06%	1-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.3% Total : 11.43%	0-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.2% Total : 4.49%