Euro 2022 Header WWW 2

Euro 2022

Women's European Championship | Group Stage
Jul 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
Academy Stadium

Italy Women
0 - 1
Belgium Women


Boattin (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
De Caigny (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Women's European Championship clash between Italy Women and Belgium Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Italy Women

Last Six:
Last Game: Italy Women 1-1 Iceland Women
Thursday, July 14 at 5pm in Women's European Championship

Belgium Women

Last Six:
Last Game: France Women 2-1 Belgium Women
Thursday, July 14 at 8pm in Women's European Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Women win with a probability of 51.04%. A win for Belgium Women had a probability of 24.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Belgium Women win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Italy WomenDrawBelgium Women
51.04% (0.088000000000001 0.09)24.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)24.7% (-0.101 -0.1)
Both teams to score 53.87% (-0.134 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.13% (-0.125 -0.13)47.87% (0.121 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.95% (-0.116 -0.12)70.05% (0.111 0.11)
Italy Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)18.76% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.84% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)50.15% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Belgium Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.31% (-0.155 -0.16)33.69% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66% (-0.166 -0.17)70.34% (0.163 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Italy Women 51.04%
    Belgium Women 24.7%
    Draw 24.25%
Italy WomenDrawBelgium Women
1-0 @ 10.57% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.85% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.37%
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 51.04%
1-1 @ 11.5%
0-0 @ 6.32% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.25%
0-1 @ 6.88% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 24.7%

How you voted: Italy Women vs Belgium Women

Italy Women
66.7%
Draw
13.6%
Belgium Women
19.7%
66