MX23RW : Sunday, May 5 23:25:40| >> :600:42553076:42553076:
Women's European Championship | Group Stage
Jul 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
Academy Stadium

Italy Women
0 - 1
Belgium Women


Boattin (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
De Caigny (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Women's European Championship clash between Italy Women and Belgium Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Italy Women 1-1 Iceland Women
Thursday, July 14 at 5pm in Women's European Championship
Last Six:
Last Game: France Women 2-1 Belgium Women
Thursday, July 14 at 8pm in Women's European Championship

We said: Italy Women 2-1 Belgium Women

Although Italy are yet to win at Euro 2022, they showed promise in the draw against Iceland, and we think they will edge out a Belgium side that are five places lower than them in the FIFA World Rankings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Women win with a probability of 51.04%. A win for Belgium Women had a probability of 24.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Belgium Women win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Italy WomenDrawBelgium Women
51.04% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 24.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.7% (-0.101 -0.1)
Both teams to score 53.87% (-0.134 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.13% (-0.125 -0.13)47.87% (0.121 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.95% (-0.116 -0.12)70.05% (0.111 0.11)
Italy Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)18.76% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.84% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)50.15% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Belgium Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.31% (-0.155 -0.16)33.69% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66% (-0.166 -0.17)70.34% (0.163 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Italy Women 51.04%
    Belgium Women 24.7%
    Draw 24.25%
Italy WomenDrawBelgium Women
1-0 @ 10.57% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.85% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.37%
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 51.04%
1-1 @ 11.5%
0-0 @ 6.32% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.25%
0-1 @ 6.88% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 24.7%

How you voted: Italy Women vs Belgium Women

Italy Women
66.7%
Draw
13.6%
Belgium Women
19.7%
66
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!