Rosengard
Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 13, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Malmo IP

Rosengard
0 - 6
Barcelona


Jansson (32')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Samuelsson (16' og.), Paralluelo (37'), Guijarro (44'), Bonmati (62'), Caldentey (73' pen.), Fernandez (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Rosengard and Barcelona Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Rosengard
Wednesday, November 22 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: Frankfurt 1-3 Barcelona
Wednesday, November 22 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 77.15%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Rosengard had a probability of 9.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.05%) and 1-2 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.11%), while for a Rosengard win it was 2-1 (2.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.

Result
RosengardDrawBarcelona Women
9.15% (0.012 0.01)13.7% (0.050000000000001 0.05)77.15% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.91% (-0.175 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.01% (-0.223 -0.22)27.99% (0.228 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.27% (-0.278 -0.28)48.73% (0.28299999999999 0.28)
Rosengard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.42% (-0.148 -0.15)40.58% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.82% (-0.136 -0.14)77.18% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Barcelona Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.1% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)5.9% (0.059 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.41% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)22.59% (0.166 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Rosengard 9.15%
    Barcelona Women 77.15%
    Draw 13.7%
RosengardDrawBarcelona Women
2-1 @ 2.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 2.16% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 9.15%
1-1 @ 6.11% (0.037 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.39% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 13.7%
0-2 @ 9.59% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 9.05% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 8.16% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.77% (0.068 0.07)
0-4 @ 6.4% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-4 @ 5.77% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.68% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-5 @ 3.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-5 @ 3.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-4 @ 2.6% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-6 @ 1.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-6 @ 1.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 4.86%
Total : 77.15%

How you voted: Rosengard vs Barcelona

Rosengard
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Barcelona Women
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Barcelona
6-0
Rosengard
Oshoala (10', 16'), Pilar Leon (45+2'), Rolfo (47'), Torrejon (50'), Paredes (69')
Oct 27, 2022 5.45pm
Group Stage
Rosengard
1-4
Barcelona
Holdt (45+2')
Bonmati (30', 41'), Caldentey (65', 90+2')