Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Jul 1, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadion Ukrajina

Karpaty
P-P
Mariupol

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Karpaty Lviv and Mariupol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mariupol win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Karpaty Lviv had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mariupol win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Karpaty Lviv win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%).

Result
Karpaty LvivDrawMariupol
35.15%25.72%39.12%
Both teams to score 55.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.94%49.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.87%71.13%
Karpaty Lviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.1%26.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.78%62.22%
Mariupol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.33%24.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.8%59.2%
Score Analysis
    Karpaty Lviv 35.15%
    Mariupol 39.12%
    Draw 25.71%
Karpaty LvivDrawMariupol
1-0 @ 8.71%
2-1 @ 8.01%
2-0 @ 5.72%
3-1 @ 3.51%
3-0 @ 2.5%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 35.15%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 6.64%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 9.29%
1-2 @ 8.53%
0-2 @ 6.5%
1-3 @ 3.98%
0-3 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.61%
1-4 @ 1.39%
0-4 @ 1.06%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 39.12%