European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage

Jun 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Cluj Arena

Italy U21s
0 - 1
Norway U21s

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Italy Under-21s and Norway Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Italy Under-21s

All competitions

European Under-21 Championship

Last Game: Switzerland U21s 2-3 Italy U21s
Sunday, June 25 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France Under-21s	2	2	6
2	Italy Under-21s	2	0	3
3	Switzerland Under-21s	2	0	3
4	Norway Under-21s	2	-2	0

Norway Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Norway U21s 0-1 France U21s
Sunday, June 25 at 7.45pm in European Under-21 Championship

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France Under-21s	2	2	6
2	Italy Under-21s	2	0	3
3	Switzerland Under-21s	2	0	3
4	Norway Under-21s	2	-2	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-21s win with a probability of 62.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Norway Under-21s had a probability of 17.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-21s win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Norway Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Italy Under-21s	Draw	Norway Under-21s
62.46% ( -0.51)	20.37% ( 0.1)	17.16% ( 0.41)

Both teams to score 55.19% (

0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.45% (

0.28)

40.54% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.07% (

0.29)

62.92% (

-0.3)

Italy Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.57% (

-0.06)

12.42% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.66% (

-0.12)

38.34% (

0.12)

Norway Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.02% (

0.66)

36.97% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.23% (

0.65)

73.76% (

-0.65)

Score Analysis

Italy Under-21s 62.46%

Norway Under-21s 17.16%

Draw 20.37%

Italy Under-21s	Draw	Norway Under-21s
2-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.63% Total : 62.46%	1-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.37%	1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.36% Total : 17.16%