European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Oct 9, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Nacional
Portugal U21s4 - 1Norway U21s
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Portugal Under-21s and Norway Under-21s.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-21s win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Norway Under-21s had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Norway Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portugal Under-21s | Draw | Norway Under-21s |
| 41.7% | 24.18% | 34.11% |
| Both teams to score 60.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.77% | 42.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.37% | 64.63% |
| Portugal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.57% | 20.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.13% | 52.86% |
| Norway Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.72% | 24.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.35% | 58.64% |
| Score Analysis |
Portugal Under-21s 41.7%
Norway Under-21s 34.11%
Draw 24.17%
| Portugal Under-21s | Draw | Norway Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.86% 1-0 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 6.26% 3-1 @ 4.69% 3-2 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.9% Total : 41.7% | 1-1 @ 11.14% 2-2 @ 6.27% 0-0 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 7.89% 0-1 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 4.97% 1-3 @ 3.72% 2-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.84% Total : 34.11% |


