Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-21s win with a probability of 82.49%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Cyprus Under-21s had a probability of 5.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-21s win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.9%) and 0-1 (10.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.81%), while for a Cyprus Under-21s win it was 1-0 (2.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal Under-21s would win this match.