Under-20s World Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jun 4, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Único Madre de Ciudades

USA U20s
0 - 2
Uruguay U20s

FT(HT: 0-1)
Duarte (21'), Wynder (56' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Under-20 World Cup clash between USA Under-20s and Uruguay Under-20s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA Under-20s

Last Game: USA U20s 4-0 New Zealand U20s
Tuesday, May 30 at 6.30pm in Under-20 World Cup

Uruguay Under-20s

Last Game: Gambia U20s 0-1 Uruguay U20s
Thursday, June 1 at 6.30pm in Under-20 World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Under-20s win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Uruguay Under-20s had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Under-20s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Uruguay Under-20s win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
USA Under-20sDrawUruguay Under-20s
46.71% (-0.241 -0.24)24.21% (0.149 0.15)29.07% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 57.75% (-0.443 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.52% (-0.613 -0.61)44.48% (0.61499999999999 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.15% (-0.595 -0.59)66.85% (0.59899999999999 0.6)
USA Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.82% (-0.34 -0.34)19.18% (0.344 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.15% (-0.566 -0.57)50.85% (0.57 0.57)
Uruguay Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.45% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)28.55% (0.247 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.66% (-0.31 -0.31)64.34% (0.312 0.31)
Score Analysis
    USA Under-20s 46.71%
    Uruguay Under-20s 29.07%
    Draw 24.21%
USA Under-20sDrawUruguay Under-20s
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.04% (0.142 0.14)
2-0 @ 7.47% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.15% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.11% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.13% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.7% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 46.71%
1-1 @ 11.33% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.145 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.21%
1-2 @ 7.1% (0.015 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.86% (0.135 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.3% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 29.07%

How you voted: USA U20s vs Uruguay U20s

USA Under-20s
61.5%
Uruguay Under-20s
38.5%
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