Under-20s World Cup | Round of 16
May 30, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas

USA U20s
4 - 0
New Zealand U20s

Wolff (14'), Cowell (61'), Che (75'), Pukstas (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Under-20 World Cup clash between USA Under-20s and New Zealand Under-20s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slovakia U20s 0-2 USA U20s
Friday, May 26 at 7pm in Under-20 World Cup
Last Game: New Zealand U20s 0-5 Argentina U20s
Friday, May 26 at 10pm in Under-20 World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Under-20s win with a probability of 80.1%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for New Zealand Under-20s had a probability of 6.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Under-20s win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.43%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.27%), while for a New Zealand Under-20s win it was 0-1 (2.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA Under-20s would win this match.

Result
USA Under-20sDrawNew Zealand Under-20s
80.1%13.19%6.71%
Both teams to score 44.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.59%35.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.56%57.44%
USA Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.1%6.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.65%25.35%
New Zealand Under-20s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.97%52.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.98%86.02%
Score Analysis
    USA Under-20s 80.09%
    New Zealand Under-20s 6.71%
    Draw 13.2%
USA Under-20sDrawNew Zealand Under-20s
2-0 @ 12.83%
3-0 @ 11.43%
1-0 @ 9.6%
2-1 @ 8.38%
4-0 @ 7.64%
3-1 @ 7.47%
4-1 @ 4.99%
5-0 @ 4.09%
5-1 @ 2.67%
3-2 @ 2.44%
6-0 @ 1.82%
4-2 @ 1.63%
6-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 80.09%
1-1 @ 6.27%
0-0 @ 3.59%
2-2 @ 2.74%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 13.2%
0-1 @ 2.35%
1-2 @ 2.05%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 6.71%

How you voted: USA U20s vs New Zealand U20s

USA Under-20s
89.5%
New Zealand Under-20s
10.5%
19