Under-20s World Cup
May 20, 2023 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio San Juan del Bicentenario
  • Jonathan Gomez 90'+2' goal

USA Under-20s vs Ecuador Under-20s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

USA Under-20s

All competitions

Ecuador Under-20s

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Under-20s win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Ecuador Under-20s had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Under-20s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Ecuador Under-20s win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA Under-20s would win this match.

Result

USA Under-20s 46.94% (+2.20)
Draw 23.75% (-0.17)
Ecuador Under-20s 29.3% (-2.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.49% (-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.75% (-0.32)
Under 2.5 42.24% (+0.32)
Over 3.5 35.35% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 64.65% (+0.32)
Over 4.5 18.53% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 81.47% (+0.24)

USA Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5 81.79% (+0.78)
Under 0.5 18.2% (-0.78)
Over 1.5 50.79% (+1.30)
Under 1.5 49.21% (-1.30)

Ecuador Under-20s Goals

Over 0.5 72.73% (-1.48)
Under 0.5 27.26% (+1.48)
Over 1.5 37.3% (-1.96)
Under 1.5 62.69% (+1.96)

Score analysis

USA Under-20s 46.94%
Draw 23.75%
Ecuador Under-20s 29.3%
USA Under-20s
2-1 @ 9.36% (+0.20)
1-0 @ 8.45% (+0.33)
2-0 @ 7.2% (+0.45)
3-1 @ 5.32% (+0.25)
3-0 @ 4.09% (+0.35)
3-2 @ 3.45% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.26% (+0.16)
4-0 @ 1.74% (+0.19)
4-2 @ 1.47% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 46.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.98% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 4.96% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.75%
Ecuador Under-20s
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.33)
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.19)
0-2 @ 4.19% (-0.31)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.29)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.18)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.22)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.14)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 29.3%